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Welcome back returning contestants and hello to new participants, my name is Adam Green. As a project for my Sotheby's graduate class in Art Business, I am developing and organizing a collection of surveys for art auctions which you and others may utilize to help predict the future short term direction of art prices.

Like the first two surveys in February and May, this third survey also consists of five prominent post-war and contemporary artworks. This survey includes works from both Christie’s Post War and Contemporary Evening and Afternoon auctions which respectively occur on June 30th and July 1st, 2008, in London. Information provided to you consists of images of all 5 artworks, final sales estimates, sizes, mediums, condition reports, and provenances. As a participant, you are asked to predict the final hammer price (excluding buyer's premium) achieved at auction for the five artworks. I also ask you to rate each art object, on a scale of #1 through #10, on the quality of the artwork within the artists' oeuvre, with #10 being the artist's most superior work.

Prior to the sale, each participant will receive via email the cumulative predictions indicating the range of all expected sales price values. You will also see the consensus view regarding the quality of each work. Following the June 30th and July 1st sales, each participant will receive via email the survey with actual hammer sales prices annotated on the survey. Like all prediction markets, incentives for participants to make accurate predictions results in more accurate individual and cumulative valuations. Consequently, the three participants who most accurately value the five artworks will receive a Visa gift card for 50 pounds along with recognition in the subsequent survey, unless such recognition is refused.

Please submit your predictions by June 25th. Thank you very much for your participation.

Artwork 1
Jeff Koons (b. 1955)
Balloon Flower (Magenta)
Click on image for more details
Balloon Flower (Magenta) (1995-2000)
£12,000,000

Size:
  • 133 ⅞ x 112 ¼ x 102 ⅜ in.
Medium:
  • High chromium stainless steel with transparent colour coating
Condition Report:
  • This work is in good condition.
Provenance:
  • Anthony d'Offay Gallery, London, Jeffrey Deitch, New York and Galerie Max Hetzler, Berlin
  • Acquired from the above by the present owner
1. Predicted Final Price (excluding buyer's premium):
The work will sell for £.
The work will be bought in.
2. How do you rate this specific painting for this artist:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Artwork 2
Gerhard Richter (b. 1932)
Kleine Strasse
Click on image for more details
Kleine Strasse (1987)
£2,000,000 - 3,000,000

Size:
  • 24 x 32 ½ in.
Medium:
  • Oil on canvas
Condition Report:
  • This work is in good condition.
Provenance:
  • Acquired directly from the artist by the present owner
1. Predicted Final Price (excluding buyer's premium):
The work will sell for £.
The work will be bought in.
2. How do you rate this specific painting for this artist:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Artwork 3
Zhang Xiaogang (b. 1958)
Father and Daughter
Click on image for more details
Father and Daughter (2000)
£900,000 - 1,500,000

Size:
  • 74 ⅝ x 58 ⅞ in.
Medium:
  • Oil on canvas
Condition Report:
  • This work is in good condition.
Provenance:
  • Max Protetch, New York
  • Private Collection
1. Predicted Final Price (excluding buyer's premium):
The work will sell for £.
The work will be bought in.
2. How do you rate this specific painting for this artist:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Artwork 4
Subodh Gupta (b. 1964)
Curry 2 (3)
Click on image for more details
Curry 2 (3) (2005)
£250,000 - 350,000

Size:
  • 86 ⅝ x 54 ⅜ x 15 ¾ in.
Medium:
  • Stainless steel
Condition Report:
  • This work is in good condition.
Provenance:
  • Art & Public, Geneva
  • Acquired from the above by the present owner
1. Predicted Final Price (excluding buyer's premium):
The work will sell for £.
The work will be bought in.
2. How do you rate this specific painting for this artist:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Artwork 5
Damien Hirst (b. 1965)
Clean Life
Click on image for more details
Clean Life (2000)
£200,000 - 300,000

Size:
  • 24 x 24 in.
Medium:
  • Acrylic and spray enamel on panel
Condition Report:
  • This work is in good condition.
Provenance:
  • Science Ltd., London
  • Anon. sale, Christie's London, 23 October 2005, lot 125 (Bought-In)
1. Predicted Final Price (excluding buyer's premium):
The work will sell for £.
The work will be bought in.
2. How do you rate this specific painting for this artist:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Contact information:
Name:
Email: